Betting Lines
| Spread | MISS -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MISS +17 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | MISS -2.9 (-14.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (+9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MISS -3.6 (-13.4) | 144.6 (+8.4) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MISS -2.9 (-14.1) | 146.6 (+6.4) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MISS -3.3 (-13.7) | 147.5 (+5.5) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MISS -3.5 (-13.5) | 147.8 (+5.2) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | MISS 76 – 72 UGA |
| Jan 15, 2026 | MISS 97 – 95 UGA |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MISS 63 – 51 UGA |
| Mar 6, 2024 | UGA 69 – 66 MISS |
| Feb 8, 2023 | MISS 78 – 74 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-26 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 4-14 |
| Home | 6-13 | 10-8 |
| Away | 0-10 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L12 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 68.7 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#188) | 4.7 (#108) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#234) | 0.76 (#114) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#229) | 1.05 (#109) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#245) | 0.512 (#158) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 29.3% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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