Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 125.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +1 | 115 | Lost |
| Massey | UAB -4.8 (-5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.1 (-10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -5.0 (-6.0) | 129.1 (-14.1) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -5.6 (-6.6) | 132.6 (-17.6) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -5.8 (-6.8) | 132.3 (-17.3) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -4.8 (-5.8) | 131.4 (-16.4) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | UNT 62 – 58 UAB |
| Feb 1, 2026 | UAB 72 – 68 UNT |
| Mar 15, 2025 | UAB 66 – 56 UNT |
| Feb 4, 2025 | UAB 64 – 61 UNT |
| Dec 31, 2024 | UNT 78 – 75 UAB |
Game Analysis
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