Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | UAB -145 UNT +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +3 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | UNT -2.0 (+5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.6 (-16.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -2.7 (+5.7) | 137.4 (-12.4) | 36% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -1.6 (+4.6) | 134.7 (-9.7) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -2.5 (+5.5) | 137.7 (-12.7) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -2.4 (+5.4) | 137.2 (-12.2) | 34% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | UNT 62 – 58 UAB |
| Feb 1, 2026 | UAB 72 – 68 UNT |
| Mar 15, 2025 | UAB 66 – 56 UNT |
| Dec 31, 2024 | UNT 78 – 75 UAB |
| Feb 18, 2024 | UAB 71 – 62 UNT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAB | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 27-9 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 14-4 |
| Home | 14-4 | 17-1 |
| Away | 7-6 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 60.6 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#113) | 8.4 (#71) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#158) | 1.64 (#60) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#148) | 1.97 (#63) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#151) | 0.601 (#33) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAB | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 14.6 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.57 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 38.6% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 29.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 29.2% |
Game Analysis
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