Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | UAB -218 UNT +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +4 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | UAB -5.8 (-9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (-18.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -5.3 (-9.3) | 138.3 (-18.3) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -4.8 (-8.8) | 138.7 (-18.7) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -5.4 (-9.4) | 134.0 (-14.0) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -5.6 (-9.6) | 134.0 (-14.0) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | UAB 72 – 68 UNT |
| Mar 15, 2025 | UAB 66 – 56 UNT |
| Feb 4, 2025 | UAB 64 – 61 UNT |
| Dec 31, 2024 | UNT 78 – 75 UAB |
| Feb 18, 2024 | UAB 71 – 62 UNT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAB | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-9 | 12-5 |
| Away | 10-2 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#115) | 0.9 (#147) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#108) | 0.12 (#154) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.83 (#106) | 0.14 (#156) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#140) | 0.508 (#167) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAB | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 28.2% | 28.9% |
| REB / G | 39.9 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 12.7% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 31.8% |
Game Analysis
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