Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | UNT -140 UAB +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +10 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | UNT -4.4 (-14.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.4 (-17.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -4.4 (-14.4) | 127.7 (-5.7) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -4.5 (-14.5) | 134.0 (-12.0) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -4.2 (-14.2) | 136.4 (-14.4) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -3.8 (-13.8) | 131.2 (-9.2) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | UNT 62 – 58 UAB |
| Feb 1, 2026 | UAB 72 – 68 UNT |
| Feb 4, 2025 | UAB 64 – 61 UNT |
| Dec 31, 2024 | UNT 78 – 75 UAB |
| Feb 18, 2024 | UAB 71 – 62 UNT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNT | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 13-5 |
| Home | 17-1 | 14-4 |
| Away | 8-5 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 81.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.6 | 76.6 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#74) | 3.2 (#114) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.56 (#61) | 0.52 (#125) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.85 (#66) | 0.55 (#127) |
| RPI | 0.589 (#36) | 0.525 (#122) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNT | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 14.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 13.9% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 38.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.8% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.9% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.