Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIP +3 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | UNA -2.1 (-5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.7 (+4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -0.0 (-3.0) | 142.8 (+4.2) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNA -1.0 (-4.0) | 143.6 (+3.4) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNA -1.4 (-4.4) | 144.8 (+2.2) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNA -0.5 (-3.5) | 144.3 (+2.7) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | LIP 73 – 51 UNA |
| Mar 9, 2025 | LIP 76 – 65 UNA |
| Feb 21, 2025 | LIP 75 – 63 UNA |
| Jan 24, 2025 | UNA 74 – 64 LIP |
| Mar 6, 2024 | UNA 77 – 75 LIP |
Game Analysis
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