Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +7 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | AMCC -9.5 (-2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.4 (+4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -7.5 (-0.5) | 155.2 (+3.8) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -8.5 (-1.5) | 155.4 (+3.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -8.0 (-1.0) | 156.3 (+2.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -9.2 (-2.2) | 154.7 (+4.3) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | AMCC 71 – 59 NWST |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NWST 79 – 78 AMCC |
| Mar 10, 2025 | NWST 66 – 63 AMCC |
| Jan 14, 2025 | AMCC 73 – 64 NWST |
| Feb 20, 2024 | AMCC 72 – 61 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 5-9 |
| Home | 9-4 | 6-6 |
| Away | 7-6 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 82.6 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#258) | -11.9 (#331) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.15 (#273) | -2.37 (#341) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.41 (#268) | -2.57 (#329) |
| RPI | 0.425 (#307) | 0.443 (#278) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 35.1% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 29.1% | 16.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.2% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.9% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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