Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +19 | 115 | Lost |
| Massey | AKR -4.2 (-14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.4 (-22.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -5.6 (-13.4) | 138.2 (-23.2) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -3.7 (-15.3) | 139.1 (-24.1) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -4.1 (-14.9) | 140.3 (-25.3) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -4.3 (-14.7) | 137.7 (-22.7) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | AKR 66 – 64 EMU |
| Dec 20, 2025 | AKR 93 – 72 EMU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | AKR 105 – 81 EMU |
| Mar 6, 2024 | EMU 61 – 60 AKR |
| Jan 31, 2024 | AKR 77 – 46 EMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EMU | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 14-6 |
| Home | 8-7 | 12-3 |
| Away | 2-14 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 63.9 |
| Massey | -7.6 (#291) | -0.5 (#172) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#260) | 0.00 (#177) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.32 (#265) | 0.08 (#165) |
| RPI | 0.441 (#281) | 0.506 (#171) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EMU | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 22.4% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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