Betting Lines
| Spread | UTEP -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTEP +14 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | UTEP -10.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.7 (+21.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTEP -9.1 (-4.9) | 138.0 (+16.0) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTEP -8.0 (-6.0) | 139.2 (+14.8) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTEP -8.0 (-6.0) | 140.4 (+13.6) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTEP -7.9 (-6.1) | 140.9 (+13.1) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 9, 2022 | UTEP 87 – 54 USM |
| Jan 2, 2021 | UTEP 77 – 62 USM |
| Jan 2, 2021 | USM 74 – 66 UTEP |
Game Analysis
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