Betting Lines
| Spread | UTEP -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.0 Over |
| Money | USM +200 UTEP -240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTEP +15 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | UTEP -12.5 (-2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 117.0 (+22.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTEP -4.4 (-10.6) | 123.8 (+15.2) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTEP -5.6 (-9.4) | 126.1 (+12.9) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTEP -7.4 (-7.6) | 127.1 (+11.9) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTEP -5.7 (-9.3) | 127.1 (+11.9) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2022 | UTEP 84 – 70 USM |
| Jan 9, 2022 | UTEP 87 – 54 USM |
| Jan 2, 2021 | USM 74 – 66 UTEP |
Game Analysis
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