Betting Lines
| Spread | UTEP -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.0 Over |
| Money | USM +200 UTEP -240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USM +8 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | UTEP -12.5 (+20.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 117.0 (+23.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTEP -5.0 (+13.0) | 125.7 (+14.3) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTEP -7.3 (+15.3) | 127.2 (+12.8) | 22% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTEP -8.3 (+16.3) | 129.9 (+10.1) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTEP -6.3 (+14.3) | 127.8 (+12.2) | 29% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2022 | UTEP 84 – 70 USM |
| Jan 9, 2022 | UTEP 87 – 54 USM |
| Jan 2, 2021 | UTEP 77 – 62 USM |
Game Analysis
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