Betting Lines
| Spread | UTEP -11.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTEP +33 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | UTEP -12.6 (+20.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.5 (+14.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTEP -11.4 (+21.6) | 130.3 (+10.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTEP -9.7 (+23.3) | 130.7 (+10.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTEP -9.3 (+23.7) | 132.1 (+8.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTEP -10.0 (+23.0) | 129.9 (+11.1) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2022 | UTEP 84 – 70 USM |
| Jan 2, 2021 | UTEP 77 – 62 USM |
| Jan 2, 2021 | USM 74 – 66 UTEP |
Game Analysis
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