Betting Lines
| Spread | LUC -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | LUC -335 DRKE +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +7 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | LUC -9.0 (-16.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (+21.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LUC -9.4 (-16.4) | 137.5 (+21.5) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LUC -9.1 (-16.1) | 139.3 (+19.7) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LUC -8.2 (-15.2) | 138.1 (+20.9) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LUC -9.4 (-16.4) | 139.1 (+19.9) | 81% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2022 | LUC 64 – 58 DRKE |
| Jan 30, 2022 | DRKE 77 – 68 LUC |
| Mar 7, 2021 | LUC 75 – 65 DRKE |
| Feb 14, 2021 | DRKE 51 – 50 LUC |
| Feb 13, 2021 | LUC 81 – 54 DRKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LUC | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 25-11 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 13-5 |
| Home | 12-2 | 14-3 |
| Away | 8-3 | 8-2 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 3-6 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.9 | 67.0 |
| Massey | 12.4 (#25) | 6.2 (#90) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.92 (#46) | 0.55 (#127) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.30 (#49) | 0.65 (#127) |
| RPI | 0.585 (#49) | 0.521 (#132) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LUC | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 38.3% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.1% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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