Betting Lines
| Spread | LUC -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | DRKE +225 LUC -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +1 | 101 | Won |
| Massey | LUC -3.2 (+4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.4 (-34.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LUC -0.9 (+1.9) | 127.0 (-26.0) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LUC -1.1 (+2.1) | 136.3 (-35.3) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LUC -1.5 (+2.5) | 135.8 (-34.8) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LUC -1.4 (+2.4) | 134.4 (-33.4) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2022 | LUC 64 – 58 DRKE |
| Feb 19, 2022 | DRKE 83 – 76 LUC |
| Jan 30, 2022 | DRKE 77 – 68 LUC |
| Mar 7, 2021 | LUC 75 – 65 DRKE |
| Feb 13, 2021 | LUC 81 – 54 DRKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | LUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-5 | 26-5 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 16-2 |
| Home | 14-1 | 13-0 |
| Away | 9-2 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.8 | 56.4 |
| Massey | 10.8 (#47) | 16.5 (#10) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.13 (#41) | 2.33 (#32) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.06 (#64) | 3.04 (#31) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#91) | 0.600 (#30) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | LUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 51.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 58.3% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.0% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 77.4% | 78.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 17.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.