Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +3 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -13.5 (-10.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.4 (+6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -10.1 (-7.1) | 141.1 (+7.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -13.6 (-10.6) | 145.5 (+3.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -12.6 (-9.6) | 145.9 (+3.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -12.1 (-9.1) | 143.3 (+5.7) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | HOF 82 – 68 NE |
| Feb 6, 2026 | HOF 80 – 63 NE |
| Feb 7, 2025 | NE 77 – 68 HOF |
| Jan 4, 2025 | HOF 55 – 37 NE |
| Feb 17, 2024 | HOF 82 – 62 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 2-16 |
| Home | 12-2 | 6-8 |
| Away | 8-8 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 64.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 5.0 (#104) | -5.7 (#263) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.19 (#88) | -0.96 (#253) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.35 (#97) | -1.11 (#248) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#51) | 0.444 (#275) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 16.4% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 76.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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