Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -9.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | BRAD -425 ILST +345 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRAD +8 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | BRAD -9.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.2 (-12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -10.1 (-2.1) | 144.4 (-8.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -10.1 (-2.1) | 144.3 (-8.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -10.8 (-2.8) | 144.7 (-8.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -10.0 (-2.0) | 145.8 (-9.8) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | BRAD 74 – 60 ILST |
| Jan 17, 2026 | ILST 88 – 62 BRAD |
| Feb 20, 2025 | ILST 82 – 71 BRAD |
| Jan 25, 2025 | BRAD 61 – 57 ILST |
| Feb 25, 2024 | BRAD 48 – 45 ILST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRAD | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-2 | 11-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 1-11 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 6.2 (#91) | -0.4 (#171) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#166) | -0.99 (#254) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#154) | -0.89 (#236) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#162) | 0.448 (#261) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRAD | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.