Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +19 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -6.4 (+12.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.2 (-19.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -8.2 (+10.8) | 142.9 (-17.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -5.9 (+13.1) | 147.1 (-22.1) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -5.3 (+13.7) | 147.7 (-22.7) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -5.3 (+13.7) | 146.3 (-21.3) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2026 | BU 85 – 58 COLG |
| Jan 24, 2026 | COLG 80 – 79 BU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | BU 93 – 91 COLG |
| Jan 11, 2025 | COLG 87 – 50 BU |
| Feb 8, 2024 | COLG 74 – 64 BU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLG | BU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 11-7 |
| Home | 15-1 | 11-4 |
| Away | 8-10 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 67.9 |
| Massey | 2.1 (#135) | -1.5 (#194) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#197) | -0.26 (#198) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#189) | -0.40 (#201) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#168) | 0.491 (#188) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLG | BU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 39.2% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.3% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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