Betting Lines
| Spread | NCCU -14.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.0 Over |
| Money | NCCU -1450 DSU +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCCU +5 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | NCCU -17.3 (-12.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.1 (+30.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCCU -13.9 (-8.9) | 138.0 (+25.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCCU -13.4 (-8.4) | 136.9 (+26.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NCCU -13.5 (-8.5) | 137.7 (+25.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCCU -13.6 (-8.6) | 139.3 (+23.7) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | NCCU 59 – 53 DSU |
| Feb 28, 2026 | NCCU 74 – 60 DSU |
| Feb 10, 2026 | NCCU 72 – 63 DSU |
| Mar 14, 2025 | NCCU 79 – 77 DSU |
| Feb 25, 2025 | DSU 86 – 84 NCCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCCU | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-15 | 2-26 |
| Conference | 8-5 | 0-14 |
| Home | 9-2 | 2-11 |
| Away | 5-11 | 0-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L25 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 60.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 75.8 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#267) | -20.3 (#358) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.92 (#252) | -4.89 (#359) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.49 (#275) | -6.25 (#359) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#217) | 0.351 (#356) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCCU | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.66 | 0.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 44.3% |
| TOV% | 23.8% | 26.1% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.2% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 64.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.5% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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