Betting Lines
| Spread | DREX -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ELON win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DREX +11 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | DREX -5.3 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (-7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -4.5 (-6.5) | 137.4 (-6.4) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DREX -4.1 (-6.9) | 141.1 (-10.1) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DREX -5.2 (-5.8) | 139.7 (-8.7) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DREX -5.3 (-5.7) | 140.0 (-9.0) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | DREX 82 – 77 ELON |
| Mar 8, 2025 | DREX 91 – 74 ELON |
| Jan 17, 2025 | ELON 65 – 54 DREX |
| Jan 14, 2024 | DREX 89 – 69 ELON |
| Jan 28, 2023 | ELON 72 – 58 DREX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ELON | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 15-14 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-7 | 8-4 |
| Away | 3-11 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 70.1 |
| Massey | -7.0 (#282) | 1.1 (#144) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#261) | 0.10 (#167) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.20 (#258) | 0.07 (#168) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#244) | 0.500 (#177) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ELON | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.3% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.