Betting Lines
| Spread | RAD -2.0 Push |
| O/U | 130.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RAD +2 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | RAD -0.7 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.3 (+0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RAD -1.2 (+0.8) | 130.5 (-0.5) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RAD -0.6 (+1.4) | 131.0 (-1.0) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RAD -0.4 (+1.6) | 132.5 (-2.5) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RAD -0.5 (+1.5) | 132.1 (-2.1) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | HPU 86 – 77 RAD |
| Jan 24, 2026 | HPU 93 – 83 RAD |
| Mar 8, 2025 | HPU 76 – 73 RAD |
| Feb 6, 2025 | HPU 78 – 75 RAD |
| Jan 3, 2025 | HPU 76 – 58 RAD |
Game Analysis
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