Betting Lines
| Spread | HPU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 165.5 Over |
| Money | RAD +285 HPU -360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HPU +10 | 176 | Lost |
| Massey | HPU -11.3 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 171.7 (+4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HPU -11.2 (+1.2) | 161.0 (+15.0) | 17% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HPU -10.2 (+0.2) | 158.6 (+17.4) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HPU -12.1 (+2.1) | 159.8 (+16.2) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HPU -11.2 (+1.2) | 161.6 (+14.4) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | HPU 86 – 77 RAD |
| Mar 8, 2025 | HPU 76 – 73 RAD |
| Feb 6, 2025 | HPU 78 – 75 RAD |
| Jan 3, 2025 | HPU 76 – 58 RAD |
| Mar 8, 2024 | HPU 77 – 63 RAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RAD | HPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 31-5 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 15-1 |
| Home | 12-5 | 17-1 |
| Away | 4-8 | 7-2 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 86.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.8 | 72.8 |
| Massey | -6.6 (#266) | 7.9 (#80) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.40 (#293) | 0.36 (#132) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.96 (#300) | 0.39 (#134) |
| RPI | 0.429 (#306) | 0.508 (#150) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RAD | HPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 48.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 55.9% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 12.9% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 30.5% | 30.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.7% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.