Betting Lines
| Spread | HPU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | RAD +210 HPU -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HPU +3 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | HPU -3.6 (+0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.1 (+6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HPU -2.3 (-0.7) | 144.0 (+9.0) | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HPU -3.3 (+0.3) | 141.4 (+11.6) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HPU -2.5 (-0.5) | 144.2 (+8.8) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HPU -2.4 (-0.6) | 146.7 (+6.3) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | HPU 86 – 77 RAD |
| Jan 24, 2026 | HPU 93 – 83 RAD |
| Mar 8, 2025 | HPU 76 – 73 RAD |
| Jan 3, 2025 | HPU 76 – 58 RAD |
| Mar 8, 2024 | HPU 77 – 63 RAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RAD | HPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 29-6 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 14-2 |
| Home | 10-3 | 16-1 |
| Away | 7-9 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 81.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 70.7 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#195) | 4.7 (#102) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#146) | 0.83 (#101) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#140) | 1.02 (#100) |
| RPI | 0.529 (#126) | 0.544 (#95) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RAD | HPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 48.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 56.3% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 35.2% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 30.8% | 31.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.