Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MTSU +8 | 166 | Lost |
| Massey | FAU -2.7 (-10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (+23.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -3.1 (-11.1) | 142.3 (+23.7) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -4.1 (-12.1) | 140.2 (+25.8) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -3.4 (-11.4) | 143.9 (+22.1) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -3.1 (-11.1) | 145.1 (+20.9) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2023 | FAU 68 – 65 MTSU |
| Feb 17, 2023 | MTSU 74 – 70 FAU |
| Jan 27, 2023 | FAU 85 – 67 MTSU |
| Jan 14, 2022 | MTSU 70 – 57 FAU |
| Mar 5, 2021 | FAU 63 – 54 MTSU |
Game Analysis
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