Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | FAU -450 MTSU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +9 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | FAU -11.6 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.3 (-19.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -11.3 (-2.3) | 140.1 (-23.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -10.5 (-1.5) | 138.4 (-21.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -11.5 (-2.5) | 141.3 (-24.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -11.5 (-2.5) | 142.1 (-25.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2023 | FAU 68 – 65 MTSU |
| Feb 17, 2023 | MTSU 74 – 70 FAU |
| Jan 27, 2023 | FAU 85 – 67 MTSU |
| Feb 19, 2022 | MTSU 87 – 79 FAU |
| Jan 14, 2022 | MTSU 70 – 57 FAU |
Game Analysis
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