Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | FAU -365 MTSU +285 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +3 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | FAU -10.0 (-7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (-7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -9.0 (-6.0) | 139.9 (-6.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -7.2 (-4.2) | 139.1 (-6.1) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -9.3 (-6.3) | 140.5 (-7.5) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -8.5 (-5.5) | 139.6 (-6.6) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2023 | MTSU 74 – 70 FAU |
| Jan 27, 2023 | FAU 85 – 67 MTSU |
| Feb 19, 2022 | MTSU 87 – 79 FAU |
| Jan 14, 2022 | MTSU 70 – 57 FAU |
| Mar 5, 2021 | FAU 63 – 54 MTSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAU | MTSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 35-4 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 11-9 |
| Home | 17-0 | 12-2 |
| Away | 11-3 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 12.8 (#22) | 2.8 (#127) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.68 (#11) | 0.71 (#109) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.82 (#24) | 0.57 (#130) |
| RPI | 0.610 (#14) | 0.552 (#79) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAU | MTSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.