Betting Lines
| Spread | MTSU -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | MTSU -170 FAU +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MTSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MTSU +13 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | MTSU -7.3 (+5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (-18.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MTSU -6.2 (+6.8) | 140.4 (-13.4) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MTSU -4.1 (+8.9) | 138.7 (-11.7) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MTSU -4.9 (+8.1) | 141.3 (-14.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MTSU -6.0 (+7.0) | 140.5 (-13.5) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2023 | FAU 68 – 65 MTSU |
| Feb 17, 2023 | MTSU 74 – 70 FAU |
| Jan 27, 2023 | FAU 85 – 67 MTSU |
| Feb 19, 2022 | MTSU 87 – 79 FAU |
| Mar 5, 2021 | FAU 63 – 54 MTSU |
Game Analysis
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