Betting Lines
| Spread | UPST -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UPST +5 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | UPST -6.2 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (+3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UPST -3.5 (-1.5) | 143.6 (+7.4) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UPST -5.1 (+0.1) | 143.9 (+7.1) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UPST -4.4 (-0.6) | 145.3 (+5.7) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UPST -3.3 (-1.7) | 145.7 (+5.3) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | UPST 100 – 94 CHSO |
| Jan 15, 2026 | UPST 86 – 81 CHSO |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UPST 79 – 69 CHSO |
| Jan 29, 2025 | CHSO 82 – 75 UPST |
| Feb 22, 2024 | CHSO 63 – 60 UPST |
Game Analysis
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