Betting Lines
| Spread | SCST -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | SCST -180 UMES +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCST +7 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | SCST -0.0 (+7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.6 (-3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UMES -0.2 (+7.2) | 137.3 (-4.3) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCST -0.6 (+6.4) | 135.5 (-2.5) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCST -0.3 (+6.7) | 136.7 (-3.7) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCST -0.1 (+6.9) | 139.2 (-6.2) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UMES 69 – 57 SCST |
| Feb 5, 2026 | SCST 63 – 54 UMES |
| Feb 25, 2025 | SCST 81 – 68 UMES |
| Jan 14, 2025 | SCST 78 – 64 UMES |
| Feb 27, 2024 | SCST 64 – 56 UMES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCST | UMES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 11-16 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 6-8 |
| Home | 8-5 | 6-4 |
| Away | 5-8 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 62.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 68.7 |
| Massey | -10.5 (#324) | -7.7 (#292) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.37 (#286) | -1.64 (#302) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.07 (#306) | -2.38 (#321) |
| RPI | 0.421 (#314) | 0.430 (#304) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCST | UMES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.4% | 38.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 40.3 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.9 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.2% | 45.2% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 23.5% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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