Betting Lines
| Spread | BCU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 121.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AAMU +2 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | BCU -4.1 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.1 (+1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BCU -3.1 (-5.1) | 129.2 (-7.2) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BCU -1.8 (-3.8) | 128.9 (-6.9) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BCU -2.6 (-4.6) | 128.4 (-6.4) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BCU -2.2 (-4.2) | 129.3 (-7.3) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | BCU 85 – 76 AAMU |
| Feb 3, 2026 | BCU 80 – 62 AAMU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | BCU 68 – 64 AAMU |
| Feb 4, 2025 | BCU 89 – 75 AAMU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | BCU 63 – 61 AAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BCU | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-21 | 12-18 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 4-6 | 6-3 |
| Away | 4-13 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.5 | 61.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 67.0 |
| Massey | -11.7 (#329) | -13.0 (#341) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.16 (#330) | -2.23 (#336) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.65 (#331) | -2.68 (#334) |
| RPI | 0.387 (#347) | 0.400 (#336) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BCU | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 37.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 26.2% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.4% | 41.0% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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