Betting Lines
| Spread | MD -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MD +16 | 164 | Lost |
| Massey | MD -4.2 (-11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.7 (+13.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MD -3.5 (-12.5) | 149.5 (+14.5) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MD -2.2 (-13.8) | 150.1 (+13.9) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MD -2.3 (-13.7) | 151.7 (+12.3) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MD -2.7 (-13.3) | 152.3 (+11.7) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | NEB 74 – 61 MD |
| Feb 14, 2025 | MD 83 – 75 NEB |
| Jan 19, 2025 | MD 69 – 66 NEB |
| Jan 27, 2024 | MD 73 – 51 NEB |
| Feb 19, 2023 | NEB 70 – 66 MD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 7-13 |
| Home | 7-12 | 10-8 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 70.7 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#176) | 6.3 (#88) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#208) | 0.92 (#108) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.08 (#167) | 1.27 (#100) |
| RPI | 0.468 (#232) | 0.534 (#116) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 19.7% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 16.9% |
Game Analysis
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