Betting Lines
| Spread | CAM -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAM +1 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | CAM -7.3 (-6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.6 (-3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAM -5.7 (-4.7) | 127.8 (-0.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAM -5.5 (-4.5) | 133.0 (-6.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CAM -5.8 (-4.8) | 133.2 (-6.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAM -5.7 (-4.7) | 131.5 (-4.5) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | CAM 90 – 72 NCAT |
| Feb 7, 2026 | CAM 79 – 71 NCAT |
| Feb 21, 2025 | NCAT 53 – 50 CAM |
| Feb 11, 2025 | CAM 66 – 62 NCAT |
| Mar 2, 2024 | CAM 64 – 62 NCAT |
Game Analysis
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