Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -6.0 Push |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +6 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | MASS -6.3 (-0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.2 (-3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -6.4 (-0.4) | 153.0 (+1.0) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -5.5 (+0.5) | 153.5 (+0.5) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -5.1 (+0.9) | 152.8 (+1.2) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -6.4 (-0.4) | 154.1 (-0.1) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2025 | LAS 78 – 71 MASS |
| Feb 9, 2025 | MASS 78 – 55 LAS |
| Jan 19, 2025 | MASS 82 – 60 LAS |
| Feb 17, 2024 | LAS 82 – 81 MASS |
| Jan 11, 2024 | MASS 81 – 65 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 11-19 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 5-13 |
| Home | 10-5 | 8-7 |
| Away | 3-8 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 71.5 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#183) | -4.3 (#240) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.05 (#181) | -1.15 (#274) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.09 (#184) | -1.45 (#270) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#187) | 0.436 (#294) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 39.2% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.1% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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