Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +1 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | MRMK -5.7 (-4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.7 (+28.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -4.1 (-3.1) | 132.2 (+26.8) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -5.2 (-4.2) | 134.2 (+24.8) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -6.1 (-5.1) | 134.7 (+24.3) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -4.1 (-3.1) | 134.2 (+24.8) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | MRMK 70 – 48 SHU |
| Feb 1, 2026 | MRMK 75 – 58 SHU |
| Dec 29, 2025 | MRMK 80 – 72 SHU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | MRMK 66 – 62 SHU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SHU 60 – 59 MRMK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 7-7 | 6-7 |
| Away | 8-9 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 58.9 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 76.0 |
| Massey | -8.1 (#299) | -10.9 (#327) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.48 (#290) | -2.38 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.91 (#298) | -2.88 (#341) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#252) | 0.400 (#337) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 28.3 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 22.5% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.7% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 63.6% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 16.8% |
Game Analysis
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