And then my good friend Shaggy says "Come spend some time, family" "44/876" -- Shaggy & Sting
Templeton Center · February 19, 2022
Betting Lines
O/U 127.0 Over
Money PRES +100 / GWEB -120
Model Predictions
Spread Total PRES win
Actual GWEB +8 144 Lost
Massey GWEB -4.0 (-4.0) — —
Massey Totals — 123.5 (+20.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 42% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 34% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ GWEB -3.3 (-4.7) 129.0 (+15.0) 42% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML GWEB -2.5 (-5.5) 130.1 (+13.9) 37% ✓
Baseline ML GWEB -2.3 (-5.7) 132.0 (+12.0) 32% ✓
Baseline Plus ML GWEB -1.5 (-6.5) 130.5 (+13.5) 38% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 PRES 68 – 62 GWEB
Jan 17, 2026 PRES 92 – 55 GWEB
Mar 1, 2025 PRES 68 – 57 GWEB
Jan 4, 2025 GWEB 63 – 61 PRES
Mar 9, 2024 GWEB 61 – 60 PRES

Game Analysis

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