Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +19 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | PRIN -1.0 (-18.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (-27.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -1.4 (-17.6) | 145.6 (-26.6) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -1.4 (-17.6) | 147.8 (-28.8) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -0.5 (-18.5) | 150.0 (-31.0) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -0.6 (-18.4) | 148.0 (-29.0) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | BRWN 80 – 71 PRIN |
| Jan 24, 2026 | PRIN 63 – 53 BRWN |
| Feb 15, 2025 | BRWN 70 – 56 PRIN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | PRIN 69 – 49 BRWN |
| Mar 16, 2024 | BRWN 90 – 81 PRIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRWN | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-16 | 23-7 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 12-2 |
| Home | 6-7 | 13-1 |
| Away | 6-7 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 78.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 72.0 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#186) | 2.8 (#128) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.51 (#215) | 0.74 (#115) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.62 (#217) | 0.67 (#126) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#195) | 0.525 (#128) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRWN | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 56.2% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 14.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 76.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 17.1% |
Game Analysis
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