Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -11.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEMO +8 | 176 | Lost |
| Massey | MORE -12.5 (-20.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.3 (+27.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -11.3 (-19.3) | 148.5 (+27.5) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -11.1 (-19.1) | 146.2 (+29.8) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -11.3 (-19.3) | 146.4 (+29.6) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -10.9 (-18.9) | 146.8 (+29.2) | 83% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | MORE 66 – 61 SEMO |
| Feb 6, 2026 | SEMO 82 – 70 MORE |
| Jan 10, 2026 | MORE 71 – 69 SEMO |
| Feb 7, 2025 | SEMO 80 – 51 MORE |
| Jan 11, 2025 | MORE 67 – 56 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 8-9 |
| Home | 12-2 | 8-5 |
| Away | 8-8 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.4 | 78.2 |
| Massey | 3.0 (#126) | -6.7 (#277) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.11 (#92) | -1.57 (#299) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.33 (#98) | -1.89 (#297) |
| RPI | 0.547 (#92) | 0.439 (#285) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.1% | 30.8% |
Game Analysis
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