Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNF +6 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | FGCU -1.1 (+7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.7 (-17.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -0.7 (+6.7) | 153.1 (-19.1) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNF -1.0 (+5.0) | 152.0 (-18.0) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNF -0.4 (+5.6) | 153.9 (-19.9) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNF -0.3 (+5.7) | 151.4 (-17.4) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | UNF 76 – 70 FGCU |
| Feb 12, 2026 | FGCU 90 – 81 UNF |
| Feb 25, 2025 | FGCU 86 – 82 UNF |
| Feb 8, 2025 | FGCU 84 – 70 UNF |
| Feb 29, 2024 | FGCU 79 – 60 UNF |
Game Analysis
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