Betting Lines
| Spread | NU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +17 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | NU -2.2 (+19.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (-0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NU -1.2 (+18.2) | 136.2 (+0.8) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -1.0 (+18.0) | 137.0 (+0.0) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NU -1.4 (+18.4) | 137.3 (-0.3) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -1.5 (+18.5) | 137.7 (-0.7) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | MINN 67 – 66 NU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | MINN 84 – 78 NU |
| Mar 12, 2025 | NU 72 – 64 MINN |
| Feb 26, 2025 | NU 75 – 63 MINN |
| Mar 10, 2024 | NU 90 – 66 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | NU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-17 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 7-13 |
| Home | 8-7 | 10-6 |
| Away | 3-9 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.2 | 70.6 |
| Massey | 4.5 (#109) | 9.6 (#53) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.28 (#80) | 1.16 (#90) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.45 (#88) | 1.51 (#85) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#85) | 0.514 (#150) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | NU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 6.2 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 13.9% |
| ORB% | 18.2% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 17.0% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 76.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.7% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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