Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -16.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +12 | 198 | Won |
| Massey | BRY -14.4 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.1 (+41.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -13.0 (-1.0) | 155.9 (+42.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -11.4 (+0.6) | 154.5 (+43.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -11.5 (+0.5) | 156.9 (+41.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -11.3 (+0.7) | 155.8 (+42.2) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2021 | FDU 95 – 84 BRY |
| Jan 31, 2021 | FDU 81 – 79 BRY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRY | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 4-22 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 5-13 |
| Home | 14-1 | 3-8 |
| Away | 8-7 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 79.2 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#232) | -15.2 (#351) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.41 (#211) | -3.20 (#353) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.56 (#214) | -3.62 (#352) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#165) | 0.379 (#349) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRY | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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