He is handing the money / He is serving the food / He knows about your party / He is calling you dude. "Comfort Eagle" - Cake
Northeast Conference · Bogota Savings Bank Center · January 31, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread BRY -7.5 Home covered
O/U 162.5 Over
Money FDU +300 / BRY -300
Model Predictions
Spread Total FDU win
Actual FDU +11 179 Won
Massey BRY -11.4 (+22.4) — —
Massey Totals — 168.5 (+10.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 13% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 5% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ BRY -6.1 (+17.1) 159.4 (+19.6) 32% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML BRY -9.5 (+20.5) 160.0 (+19.0) 18% ✗
Baseline ML BRY -9.2 (+20.2) 161.4 (+17.6) 22% ✗
Baseline Plus ML BRY -8.4 (+19.4) 161.1 (+17.9) 25% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 19, 2022 BRY 105 – 93 FDU
Jan 31, 2021 FDU 81 – 79 BRY

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings FDU BRY
Overall 9-15 15-7
Conference 8-10 10-4
Home 4-6 10-1
Away 5-9 5-5
Neutral 0-0 0-1
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 75.0 81.2
Avg Pts Against 78.8 75.3
Massey -8.7 (#297) 5.3 (#96)
Bradley-Terry -1.30 (#274) 1.08 (#93)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.86 (#280) 1.69 (#84)
RPI 0.407 (#304) 0.569 (#64)
Shooting & Four Factors FDU BRY
FG% 43.9% 46.3%
3PT% 37.2% 39.1%
REB / G 32.4 40.7
OREB / G 10.2 10.1
AST / TO 0.75 0.94
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.0% 54.4%
TOV% 19.9% 20.6%
ORB% 27.9% 27.9%
FT Rate 20.9% 29.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.7% 45.8%
Opp TOV% 18.9% 17.4%
DRB% 67.1% 69.1%
Opp FT Rate 25.2% 18.3%

Game Analysis

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