Betting Lines
| Spread | VILL -20.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VILL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VILL +8 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | VILL -22.1 (-14.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.5 (-3.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VILL -16.7 (-8.7) | 145.7 (-5.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VILL -17.9 (-9.9) | 149.2 (-9.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VILL -17.8 (-9.8) | 150.0 (-10.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VILL -18.7 (-10.7) | 147.7 (-7.7) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | GTWN 78 – 64 VILL |
| Feb 7, 2026 | VILL 80 – 73 GTWN |
| Jan 22, 2026 | VILL 66 – 51 GTWN |
| Mar 5, 2025 | GTWN 75 – 73 VILL |
| Jan 20, 2025 | GTWN 64 – 63 VILL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VILL | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-8 | 6-25 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 0-19 |
| Home | 12-1 | 6-11 |
| Away | 8-5 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 10-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L21 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.7 | 77.0 |
| Massey | 18.2 (#9) | -1.0 (#184) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.27 (#8) | -0.52 (#222) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.90 (#10) | -0.44 (#205) |
| RPI | 0.642 (#5) | 0.453 (#249) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VILL | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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