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Wyoming Cowboys
75 – 67
FINAL Conference
Air Force Falcons
Mountain West Conference · Arena-Auditorium · February 19, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread WYO -15.0 Away covered
O/U 132.0 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total WYO win
Actual WYO +8 142 Won
Massey WYO -17.6 (-9.6) — —
Massey Totals — 127.7 (+14.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 97% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 98% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WYO -14.6 (-6.6) 128.3 (+13.7) 89% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WYO -15.4 (-7.4) 133.2 (+8.8) 89% ✓
Baseline ML WYO -16.9 (-8.9) 133.6 (+8.4) 89% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WYO -16.2 (-8.2) 131.1 (+10.9) 89% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 28, 2026 WYO 66 – 62 AF
Dec 30, 2025 WYO 68 – 56 AF
Feb 19, 2025 WYO 69 – 62 AF
Jan 4, 2025 WYO 70 – 65 AF
Mar 6, 2024 WYO 74 – 63 AF

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WYO AF
Overall 25-9 11-18
Conference 13-5 4-13
Home 14-1 7-6
Away 8-5 2-11
Neutral 3-3 2-1
Last 5 4-1 0-5
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 71.5 59.0
Avg Pts Against 65.7 66.0
Massey 9.9 (#49) -4.7 (#249)
Bradley-Terry 2.74 (#17) -0.14 (#189)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.06 (#25) -0.43 (#203)
RPI 0.616 (#20) 0.467 (#235)
Shooting & Four Factors WYO AF
FG% 47.4% 44.2%
3PT% 33.5% 34.1%
REB / G 35.8 26.4
OREB / G 8.0 5.7
AST / TO 0.96 0.92
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.2% 52.0%
TOV% 16.5% 21.8%
ORB% 25.5% 19.3%
FT Rate 28.9% 17.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.1% 51.5%
Opp TOV% 15.3% 20.8%
DRB% 75.6% 70.8%
Opp FT Rate 16.9% 28.7%

Game Analysis

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