Betting Lines
| Spread | FAMU -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAMU +3 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | FAMU -3.7 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.5 (+33.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAMU -3.2 (-0.2) | 136.3 (+32.7) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAMU -2.6 (+0.4) | 135.3 (+33.7) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAMU -3.0 (+0.0) | 137.4 (+31.6) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAMU -2.8 (+0.2) | 136.3 (+32.7) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | FAMU 76 – 63 ALST |
| Feb 3, 2026 | ALST 79 – 66 FAMU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | ALST 60 – 59 FAMU |
| Feb 4, 2025 | ALST 67 – 66 FAMU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | FAMU 73 – 65 ALST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAMU | ALST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-17 | 9-21 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 8-10 |
| Home | 8-4 | 6-6 |
| Away | 5-12 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.6 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -9.2 (#314) | -10.1 (#319) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.50 (#293) | -2.58 (#345) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.16 (#313) | -2.98 (#344) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#287) | 0.398 (#338) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAMU | ALST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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