Betting Lines
| Spread | LOU -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LOU +9 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | CLEM -1.2 (+10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.6 (-8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LOU -0.3 (+8.7) | 139.7 (-8.7) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LOU -0.5 (+8.5) | 143.8 (-12.8) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LOU -0.4 (+8.6) | 144.0 (-13.0) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LOU -0.2 (+8.8) | 143.8 (-12.8) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | CLEM 80 – 75 LOU |
| Mar 15, 2025 | LOU 76 – 73 CLEM |
| Jan 8, 2025 | LOU 74 – 64 CLEM |
| Jan 31, 2024 | CLEM 70 – 64 LOU |
| Feb 19, 2023 | LOU 83 – 73 CLEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LOU | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 8-12 |
| Home | 8-8 | 11-5 |
| Away | 2-10 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 68.5 |
| Massey | 3.0 (#125) | 7.0 (#83) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#138) | 0.64 (#122) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#132) | 1.13 (#105) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#151) | 0.508 (#166) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LOU | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 76.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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