And the sound that I'm hearing is only the sound of the low spark of high heeled boys. "The Low Spark of High Heeled Boys" - Traffic
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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83–40 on winners spread MAE 8.6 123 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Princeton @ Brown -1.1 146.3 46% 69–50 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Yale +5.4 145.1 69% 72–81 ✓
Cornell @ Dartmouth -0.9 145.6 47% 59–71 ✗
Columbia @ Harvard +16.4 146.1 93% 54–62 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Detroit Mercy +1.7 136.3 56% 52–60 ✓
Richmond @ VCU +3.6 129.4 63% 57–77 ✓
Marist @ Siena -2.4 134.9 41% 62–53 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Fairfield +1.1 125.3 54% 70–59 ✗
Rider @ Monmouth +11.2 134.5 84% 58–60 ✓
Ohio @ Kent State -1.2 130.2 46% 52–75 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Green Bay -4.7 131.5 33% 74–55 ✓
Cleveland State @ Milwaukee -7.0 142.1 26% 78–61 ✓
Wright State @ Oakland +7.1 148.8 74% 78–74 ✗
Maryland @ Nebraska -3.8 150.8 36% 90–74 ✓
Missouri @ Mississippi State +12.3 135.6 87% 49–68 ✓
TCU @ Baylor +13.0 135.4 88% 62–72 ✓
Illinois @ Michigan State -0.7 141.6 47% 79–74 ✓
Xavier @ UConn +5.6 142.3 69% 61–72 ✓
Tulsa @ South Florida -2.0 123.8 43% 65–57 ✓
Holy Cross @ Navy +17.3 122.9 94% 55–50 ✗
Boston College @ Syracuse +9.3 148.2 80% 56–76 ✓
UMBC @ Vermont +14.1 144.6 90% 59–86 ✓
La Salle @ Massachusetts +6.4 157.4 72% 74–80 ✓
Wofford @ Furman +6.0 140.3 71% 69–70 ✓
Texas Tech @ Texas +1.9 123.3 57% 61–55 ✗
Alabama @ Kentucky +9.7 158.7 81% 81–90 ✓
UTEP @ Southern Miss -10.1 133.0 18% 84–70 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Wagner +19.8 133.1 96% 68–78 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Bryant +15.7 156.2 92% 93–105 ✓
Notre Dame @ Wake Forest +5.5 143.2 69% 74–79 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Indiana State -1.4 127.8 45% 76–72 ✓
Dayton @ Saint Joseph's -6.2 132.2 29% 74–62 ✓
East Tennessee State @ The Citadel -0.2 154.3 49% 77–67 ✓
Niagara @ Canisius -0.8 134.3 47% 65–54 ✓
Ole Miss @ Georgia -2.6 143.4 41% 85–68 ✓
Boston University @ Colgate +6.1 143.9 71% 53–72 ✓
Auburn @ Florida -5.2 141.9 32% 62–63 ✗
Morgan State @ Howard +10.7 155.7 83% 66–68 ✓
Army @ American University -4.0 137.9 36% 67–83 ✗
High Point @ Radford +0.3 129.8 51% 64–66 ✓
Kansas State @ Oklahoma State +3.9 131.5 64% 79–82 ✓
Oklahoma @ Iowa State +1.5 126.0 55% 54–75 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Youngstown State +19.3 122.3 96% 61–74 ✓
Valparaiso @ Evansville -4.6 129.4 34% 72–56 ✓
Illinois State @ Bradley +9.9 148.2 82% 64–72 ✓
Oral Roberts @ North Dakota -12.1 158.1 14% 87–73 ✓
Kansas City @ North Dakota State +5.6 135.6 69% 85–71 ✗
Mercer @ Western Carolina -3.9 146.0 36% 65–69 ✗
Northeastern @ Hofstra +13.5 143.0 89% 73–76 ✓
Iowa @ Ohio State +3.0 159.5 61% 75–62 ✗
Tarleton State @ Chicago State -7.6 129.6 24% 79–60 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Merrimack +4.9 130.4 67% 79–80 ✓
Clemson @ Louisville -1.6 139.9 44% 61–70 ✗
Arkansas State @ UT Arlington +1.1 138.5 54% 58–49 ✗
Georgia State @ Georgia Southern -0.8 132.5 47% 58–49 ✓
St. Thomas @ South Dakota State +19.4 162.2 96% 60–79 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Samford +1.2 136.8 54% 49–55 ✓
Akron @ Eastern Michigan -4.2 137.7 35% 67–48 ✓
Saint Louis @ Davidson +0.5 147.1 52% 58–79 ✓
LSU @ South Carolina -8.4 131.5 22% 75–77 ✗
Tennessee @ Arkansas -3.0 143.7 39% 48–58 ✗
Air Force @ Wyoming +17.1 127.8 94% 67–75 ✓
Lafayette @ Bucknell -0.1 145.2 50% 89–92 ✗
Alabama A&M @ Bethune-Cookman +3.0 120.4 61% 62–60 ✗
Hawai'i @ UC Irvine +4.5 122.8 66% 52–77 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Morehead State +13.2 147.8 88% 92–84 ✗
Eastern Illinois @ Tennessee State +12.2 126.0 87% 49–63 ✓
Jackson State @ Alcorn State +3.7 123.8 63% 60–61 ✓
North Texas @ UAB +2.8 125.2 60% 58–57 ✗
Middle Tennessee @ Florida Atlantic +2.4 141.8 59% 87–79 ✗
Montana State @ Southern Utah +0.9 148.7 53% 76–71 ✗
Houston Christian @ Nicholls +14.9 145.2 91% 70–84 ✓
California Baptist @ Seattle U +9.1 143.6 80% 64–67 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Lamar -13.6 136.7 11% 70–56 ✓
St. Francis Brooklyn @ Saint Francis +0.5 137.8 52% 80–72 ✗
Long Island University @ Mount St. Mary's +1.7 139.8 56% 66–61 ✗
Gardner-Webb @ Presbyterian -4.4 124.2 34% 76–68 ✓
North Carolina @ Virginia Tech +5.3 145.5 69% 65–57 ✗
New Hampshire @ UAlbany +1.9 123.2 57% 65–70 ✓
Troy @ Coastal Carolina +3.7 134.4 63% 63–73 ✓
VMI @ Chattanooga +10.1 148.7 82% 80–75 ✗
Drexel @ Elon -5.4 139.6 31% 71–60 ✓
Delaware @ William & Mary -11.0 137.6 16% 73–69 ✓
Towson @ Charleston -4.7 141.9 33% 80–77 ✓
Western Michigan @ Buffalo +20.1 147.9 97% 73–87 ✓
Northwestern @ Minnesota -2.4 138.3 41% 60–77 ✗
Delaware State @ North Carolina Central +17.5 132.7 94% 79–84 ✓
Alabama State @ Florida A&M +3.3 135.9 62% 83–86 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ South Carolina State +1.0 137.0 54% 63–70 ✓
Murray State @ UT Martin -18.0 140.3 5% 62–60 ✓
Winthrop @ UNC Asheville +1.1 145.0 54% 84–79 ✗
North Carolina A&T @ Campbell +6.8 130.7 73% 63–64 ✓
Lipscomb @ North Alabama +1.9 142.6 57% 75–72 ✗
South Alabama @ App State -1.6 129.3 44% 51–69 ✗
Miami (OH) @ Northern Illinois -1.1 141.1 46% 78–75 ✓
Norfolk State @ Coppin State -3.8 142.9 37% 89–59 ✓
Georgetown @ Villanova +22.2 143.2 98% 66–74 ✓
Texas Southern @ Mississippi Valley State -15.1 146.1 8% 79–59 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Incarnate Word -6.2 148.4 29% 84–92 ✗
SIU Edwardsville @ Belmont +21.0 146.6 97% 62–73 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Austin Peay -0.0 138.5 50% 73–69 ✓
McNeese @ LSU New Orleans +6.9 152.3 74% 75–88 ✓
Virginia @ Miami +2.9 128.2 60% 74–71 ✗
Binghamton @ UMass Lowell +6.7 134.2 73% 78–64 ✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ North Florida -0.7 151.6 47% 64–70 ✗
Little Rock @ Texas State +14.4 138.5 91% 50–68 ✓
Western Illinois @ South Dakota +2.5 152.2 59% 65–78 ✓
Ball State @ Bowling Green +3.8 168.1 64% 91–82 ✗
South Carolina Upstate @ Charleston Southern -5.9 148.2 30% 78–73 ✓
Hartford @ Stony Brook +5.0 152.4 67% 82–88 ✓
Florida State @ Duke +15.0 143.2 91% 70–88 ✓
Utah @ California +0.7 133.3 53% 60–58 ✗
Northwestern State @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +9.3 154.4 80% 76–83 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Brown +2.9 141.5 60% 89–88 ✗
Kennesaw State @ Jacksonville +4.5 126.3 66% 56–59 ✓
Drake @ Loyola Chicago +8.4 137.5 78% 83–76 ✗
Rhode Island @ George Washington -4.8 130.1 33% 61–72 ✗
Duquesne @ St. Bonaventure +14.1 136.3 90% 55–81 ✓
Texas A&M @ Vanderbilt +2.8 133.2 60% 67–72 ✓
Utah State @ Boise State +4.4 134.3 66% 57–68 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff -6.3 151.6 28% 92–84 ✓
Grambling @ Southern +12.2 143.1 87% 61–57 ✗
Eastern Washington @ Idaho -5.2 161.8 32% 80–83 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.