They smelled of pubs and Wormwood Scrubs and too many right wing meetings. "Down in the Tube Station at Midnight" - The Jam
← All models

Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
37–21 on winners spread MAE 9.0 58 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Rice @ Florida International +0.7 148.1 52% 78–80 ✓
Old Dominion @ Western Kentucky +7.8 137.7 76% 64–73 ✓
UTSA @ Louisiana Tech +18.8 144.5 96% 71–95 ✓
Charlotte @ Marshall +0.8 153.7 53% 99–84 ✗
Hampton @ Longwood +15.6 134.6 92% 72–76 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Pittsburgh +2.7 128.1 60% 68–62 ✗
Princeton @ Yale +0.4 149.2 51% 81–75 ✗
Cornell @ Harvard +2.7 150.8 60% 72–77 ✓
Columbia @ Dartmouth +12.4 137.0 87% 50–79 ✓
Stetson @ Liberty +15.5 133.1 92% 82–88 ✓
UIC @ Robert Morris +0.4 147.9 51% 96–88 ✗
James Madison @ UNC Wilmington +2.8 146.7 60% 77–78 ✓
Central Michigan @ Toledo +23.1 151.2 98% 66–68 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Central Arkansas -4.6 168.1 34% 76–83 ✗
Kansas @ West Virginia -7.2 146.4 26% 71–58 ✓
Oregon State @ Arizona State +9.3 138.6 80% 53–73 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC Riverside +11.1 121.4 84% 58–78 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Davis +6.6 130.7 73% 79–81 ✓
DePaul @ Seton Hall +10.4 144.5 83% 64–66 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Weber State +4.9 160.6 67% 83–79 ✗
Sacramento State @ Idaho State +1.7 122.0 56% 80–75 ✗
New Mexico State @ Grand Canyon +3.2 130.0 61% 82–66 ✗
Sam Houston @ UT Rio Grande Valley -5.2 145.5 32% 67–61 ✓
Pepperdine @ Portland +8.9 148.3 79% 74–77 ✓
UL Monroe @ Louisiana +8.5 145.5 78% 74–79 ✓
Colorado State @ UNLV -2.9 144.9 40% 51–72 ✗
Santa Clara @ Gonzaga +21.6 166.6 98% 69–81 ✓
Utah Valley @ Utah Tech -7.9 141.8 24% 75–80 ✗
Oregon @ Arizona +17.0 152.2 94% 81–84 ✓
Washington @ UCLA +18.5 145.7 95% 50–76 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Pacific -1.1 135.9 46% 68–69 ✗
Colorado @ Stanford +1.4 134.3 55% 70–53 ✗
Long Beach State @ UC Santa Barbara +4.4 144.1 65% 71–84 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Cal State Northridge -7.7 132.9 24% 81–73 ✓
BYU @ Saint Mary's +6.5 132.2 72% 64–69 ✓
San Diego State @ Fresno State +1.1 108.9 54% 61–44 ✗
Providence @ Butler -5.6 126.6 30% 71–70 ✓
Houston @ Wichita State -10.2 130.2 18% 76–74 ✓
Michigan @ Wisconsin +2.5 135.7 59% 63–77 ✓
NJIT @ Maine -3.9 127.1 36% 61–65 ✗
Wright State @ Detroit Mercy +0.7 146.2 53% 75–80 ✓
Fairfield @ Iona +11.8 140.7 86% 58–76 ✓
Temple @ Cincinnati +6.6 131.2 73% 75–71 ✗
East Carolina @ UCF +9.4 143.5 80% 66–69 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Milwaukee -3.9 135.3 36% 81–71 ✓
Missouri State @ Northern Iowa -1.6 145.3 44% 75–95 ✗
Quinnipiac @ Marist +7.7 146.7 76% 66–67 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Siena -3.5 125.4 38% 70–84 ✗
Rider @ Manhattan +2.9 142.6 60% 78–84 ✓
George Mason @ Fordham -2.7 135.5 40% 47–50 ✗
Memphis @ SMU +0.3 149.3 51% 57–73 ✓
Marquette @ Creighton -0.2 140.4 49% 82–83 ✗
Northern Kentucky @ Oakland +7.4 137.4 75% 71–66 ✗
Cleveland State @ Green Bay -9.6 137.7 19% 79–67 ✓
New Mexico @ San José State -7.3 153.2 25% 55–71 ✗
Stony Brook @ Hartford +0.5 153.3 52% 70–74 ✓
Lehigh @ Loyola Maryland +5.6 138.1 69% 42–69 ✓
Rutgers @ Purdue +13.2 141.8 89% 72–84 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.