Betting Lines
| Spread | UCR -11.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 124.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCR +20 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | UCR -11.4 (+8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.8 (+15.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCR -13.2 (+6.8) | 127.3 (+8.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCR -8.5 (+11.5) | 131.4 (+4.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCR -8.8 (+11.2) | 131.0 (+5.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCR -9.4 (+10.6) | 129.7 (+6.3) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | CP 94 – 87 UCR |
| Dec 7, 2025 | UCR 88 – 84 CP |
| Mar 14, 2025 | CP 96 – 83 UCR |
| Feb 22, 2025 | CP 112 – 100 UCR |
| Feb 2, 2025 | UCR 80 – 62 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCR | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-12 | 7-21 |
| Conference | 9-6 | 2-12 |
| Home | 10-4 | 4-7 |
| Away | 6-7 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 60.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.3 | 67.9 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#184) | -9.5 (#316) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#158) | -2.02 (#326) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#185) | -2.21 (#316) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#140) | 0.406 (#329) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCR | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 23.2% |
| ORB% | 22.1% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 77.7% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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