Betting Lines
| Spread | PUR -13.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Over |
| Money | PUR -850 RUTG +575 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PUR +12 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | PUR -13.7 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.4 (+14.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PUR -12.0 (+0.0) | 141.1 (+14.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PUR -11.9 (+0.1) | 144.8 (+11.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PUR -12.0 (-0.0) | 144.3 (+11.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PUR -12.2 (-0.2) | 142.0 (+14.0) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2025 | PUR 81 – 65 RUTG |
| Mar 5, 2025 | PUR 100 – 71 RUTG |
| Jan 9, 2025 | PUR 68 – 50 RUTG |
| Feb 23, 2024 | PUR 96 – 68 RUTG |
| Jan 28, 2024 | PUR 68 – 60 RUTG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PUR | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-8 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 12-8 |
| Home | 16-1 | 14-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.4 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 18.2 (#8) | 7.2 (#78) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.31 (#7) | 1.72 (#55) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.01 (#8) | 2.39 (#45) |
| RPI | 0.627 (#12) | 0.548 (#88) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PUR | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.2% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 40.4% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.2% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 76.7% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.6% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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