Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -13.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +3 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -17.2 (-14.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.8 (+13.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -13.7 (-10.7) | 154.8 (+10.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -15.8 (-12.8) | 154.8 (+10.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -15.0 (-12.0) | 153.6 (+11.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -14.8 (-11.8) | 153.2 (+11.8) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 24, 2025 | ARIZ 87 – 83 ORE |
| Mar 16, 2024 | ORE 67 – 59 ARIZ |
| Mar 2, 2024 | ARIZ 103 – 83 ORE |
| Jan 27, 2024 | ARIZ 87 – 78 ORE |
| Feb 3, 2023 | ARIZ 91 – 76 ORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 33-4 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 11-9 |
| Home | 17-0 | 12-5 |
| Away | 9-3 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.0 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 70.3 |
| Massey | 22.5 (#2) | 8.1 (#68) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.90 (#1) | 1.58 (#63) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.67 (#2) | 1.88 (#63) |
| RPI | 0.646 (#3) | 0.573 (#56) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 43.5 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.51 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 36.6% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.4% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.7% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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