Betting Lines
| Spread | MRST -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Under |
| Money | MRST -255 QUIN +215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRST +1 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | MRST -7.5 (-6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.8 (-13.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRST -4.7 (-3.7) | 144.1 (-11.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRST -6.5 (-5.5) | 144.8 (-11.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRST -6.8 (-5.8) | 145.1 (-12.1) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRST -6.2 (-5.2) | 145.5 (-12.5) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | MRST 77 – 75 QUIN |
| Jan 24, 2026 | MRST 71 – 64 QUIN |
| Dec 29, 2025 | QUIN 64 – 58 MRST |
| Jan 5, 2025 | MRST 69 – 62 QUIN |
| Mar 8, 2024 | QUIN 73 – 64 MRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRST | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 7-13 |
| Home | 7-6 | 8-7 |
| Away | 7-9 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -0.0 (#165) | -4.7 (#248) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#215) | -0.63 (#230) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#200) | -0.94 (#238) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#208) | 0.454 (#251) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRST | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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